The Daily Wire: ER 19 Aug 2013 2PP 50/50 Coalition/ALP (ALP up 1) - The Daily Wire

Jump to content

Page 1 of 1

ER 19 Aug 2013 2PP 50/50 Coalition/ALP (ALP up 1)

#1 User is offline   lenxyz 

  • Advanced Member
  • Group: Moderators
  • Posts: 374
  • Joined: 19-January 11

Posted 19 August 2013 - 06:01 PM

Coalition 44 (up 1)
ALP 40 (up 1)
Greens 8 (no change)
Others 8 (down 2)

A remarkable result from ER showing a 1% 2PP shift to the ALP although both parties have primary up 1. ER is now the only pollster to show a trend to Labor. Generally ER is quite reliable, giving believable results during the Gillard era. Rounding is probably playing a part here and this result would have to be as close to 51/49 as it can get.

Nevertheless recent polling is quite confusing. A series of robopolls are giving Qld, NSW and Vic marginal seats strongly to the Coalition with big swings in some electorates. A rare Morgan phone poll last week had the Coalition 57/43 whilst Galaxy, although moving to the Coalition, is still 52/48.
Newspoll’s 54/46 came from a relatively large sample, but it has been quite volatile in recent times and therefore a 52/48 result, within MOE, is more probable.
Register so you can post replies with ease and remove this message.
Already registered? Please login now to make this message go away.
Log in with Facebook Log in with Twitter


Share this topic:

Page 1 of 1

Fast Reply